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Okay, I've run the numbers (have I told you about my amateur statistics? no?), and France are still favourites - I give them a ~21% chance of winning.
That said, they'll probably play the US in the quarter-final, which should be a big game. So, USA/France v Germany in the final most likely.
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Making myself up as I go along. Check out my music-themed blog, 79:57.
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